In this page we list the equations, the variables and the parameters of the World2 model as described in Chapter 3 and Appendix B of the book World dynamics (1973). Even if it is not said explicitily in the book, the World2 model consists of six systems containing several subsystems.
System | # | Definition | Reference | Notes |
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Population | 1 | $\frac{d\mathtt{p}}{dt} = \mathtt{br} - \mathtt{dr}$ | page 33 | see initialisation of $\mathtt{p}$ |
Population | 2 | $\mathtt{br} = \mathtt{p}\times\mathit{clip}(\mathtt{brn}, \mathtt{brn1},\mathit{t},\mathtt{swt1})\times\mathtt{brfm}\times\mathtt{brmm}\times\mathtt{brcm}\times\mathtt{brpm}$ | page 34 | see values of $\mathtt{brn}$, $\mathtt{brn1}$, and $\mathtt{swt1}$ |
Population | 3 | $\mathtt{brmm}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{msl}\right)$ | page 35 | see table $\mathtt{brmm}$ |
Capital investment | 4 | $\mathtt{msl}=\frac{\mathtt{ecir}}{\mathtt{ecirn}}$ | page 36 | see value of $\mathtt{ecirn}$ |
Capital investment | 5 | $\mathtt{ecir}=\frac{\mathtt{cir}\times(1-\mathtt{ciaf})\times\mathtt{nrem}}{1-\mathtt{ciafn}}$ | page 37 | see value of $\mathtt{ciafn}$ |
Natural resources | 6 | $\mathtt{nrem}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{nrfr}\right)$ | page 38 | see table $\mathtt{nrem}$ |
Natural resources | 7 | $\mathtt{nrfr}=\frac{\mathtt{nr}}{\mathtt{nri}}$ | page 38 | see initialisation of $\mathtt{nr}$ |
Natural resources | 8 | $\frac{d\mathtt{nr}}{dt} = - \mathtt{nrur}$ | page 39 | see initialisation of $\mathtt{nr}$ |
Natural resources | 9 | $\mathtt{nrur} = \mathtt{p}\times\mathit{clip}(\mathtt{nrun}, \mathtt{nrun1},\mathit{t},\mathtt{swt2})\times\mathtt{nrmm}$ | page 39 | see values of $\mathtt{nrun}$, $\mathtt{nrun1}$, and $\mathtt{swt2}$ |
Population | 10 | $\mathtt{dr} = \mathtt{p}\times\mathit{clip}(\mathtt{drn}, \mathtt{drn1},\mathit{t},\mathtt{swt3})\times\mathtt{drfm}\times\mathtt{drmm}\times\mathtt{drcm}\times\mathtt{drpm}$ | page 40 | see values of $\mathtt{drn}$, $\mathtt{drn1}$, and $\mathtt{swt3}$ |
Population | 11 | $\mathtt{drmm}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{msl}\right)$ | page 41 | see table $\mathtt{drmm}$ |
Population | 12 | $\mathtt{drpm}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{polr}\right)$ | page 42 | see table $\mathtt{drpm}$ |
Population | 13 | $\mathtt{drfm}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{fr}\right)$ | page 43 | see table $\mathtt{drfm}$ |
Population | 14 | $\mathtt{drcm}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{cr}\right)$ | page 44 | see table $\mathtt{drcm}$ |
Population | 15 | $\mathtt{cr}=\frac{\mathtt{p}}{\mathtt{la}\times\mathtt{pdn}}$ | page 44 | see values of $\mathtt{la}$ and $\mathtt{pdn}$ |
Population | 16 | $\mathtt{brcm}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{cr}\right)$ | page 45 | see table $\mathtt{brcm}$ |
Population | 17 | $\mathtt{brfm}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{fr}\right)$ | page 46 | see table $\mathtt{brfm}$ |
Population | 18 | $\mathtt{brpm}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{polr}\right)$ | page 47 | see table $\mathtt{brpm}$ |
Agricultural investment | 19 | $\mathtt{fr} = \frac{\mathtt{fpci}\times\mathtt{fcm}\times\mathtt{fpm}\times\mathit{clip}(\mathtt{fc}, \mathtt{fc1},\mathit{t},\mathtt{swt7})}{\mathtt{fn}}$ | page 47 | see values of $\mathtt{fc}$, $\mathtt{fc1}$, $\mathtt{fn}$, and $\mathtt{swt7}$ |
Agricultural investment | 20 | $\mathtt{fcm}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{cr}\right)$ | page 48 | see table $\mathtt{fcm}$ |
Agricultural investment | 21 | $\mathtt{fpci}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{cira}\right)$ | page 49 | see table $\mathtt{fpci}$ |
Capital investment | 22 | $\mathtt{cira}=\frac{\mathtt{cir}\times\mathtt{ciaf}}{\mathtt{ciafn}}$ | page 50 | see value of $\mathtt{ciafn}$ |
Capital investment | 23 | $\mathtt{cir}=\frac{\mathtt{ci}}{\mathtt{p}}$ | page 50 | |
Capital investment | 24 | $\frac{d\mathtt{ci}}{dt} = \mathtt{cig}-\mathtt{cid}$ | page 50 | see initialisation of $\mathtt{ci}$ |
Capital investment | 25 | $\mathtt{cig} = \mathtt{p}\times\mathtt{brfm}\times\mathit{clip}(\mathtt{cign}, \mathtt{cign1},\mathit{t},\mathtt{swt4})$ | page 51 | see values of $\mathtt{cign}$, $\mathtt{cign1}$, and $\mathtt{swt4}$ |
Capital investment | 26 | $\mathtt{cim}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{msl}\right)$ | page 52 | see table $\mathtt{cim}$ |
Capital investment | 27 | $\mathtt{cid} = \mathtt{ci}\times\mathit{clip}(\mathtt{cidn}, \mathtt{cidn1},\mathit{t},\mathtt{swt5})$ | page 53 | see values of $\mathtt{cidn}$, $\mathtt{cidn1}$, and $\mathtt{swt5}$ |
Agriculture investment | 28 | $\mathtt{fpm}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{polr}\right)$ | page 54 | see table $\mathtt{fpm}$ |
Pollution | 29 | $\mathtt{polr} = \frac{\mathtt{pol}}{\mathtt{pols}}$ | page 54 | see value of $\mathtt{pols}$ |
Pollution | 30 | $\frac{d\mathtt{pol}}{dt} = \mathtt{polg}-\mathtt{pola}$ | page 54 | see initialisation of $\mathtt{pol}$ |
Pollution | 31 | $\mathtt{polg} = \mathtt{p}\times\mathit{clip}(\mathtt{poln}, \mathtt{poln1},\mathit{t},\mathtt{swt6})\times\mathtt{polcm}$ | page 55 | see values of $\mathtt{poln}$, $\mathtt{poln1}$, and $\mathtt{swt6}$ |
Pollution | 32 | $\mathtt{polcm}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{cir}\right)$ | page 56 | see table $\mathtt{polcm}$ |
Pollution | 33 | $\mathtt{pola}=\frac{\mathtt{pol}}{\mathtt{polat}}$ | page 57 | see table $\mathtt{polcm}$ |
Pollution | 34 | $\mathtt{polat}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{polr}\right)$ | page 58 | see table $\mathtt{polat}$ |
Agriculture investment | 35 | $\frac{d\mathtt{ciaf}}{dt} = \frac{\mathtt{cfifr}\times\mathtt{ciqr}-\mathtt{ciaf}}{\mathtt{ciaft}}$ | page 59 | see initialisation of $\mathtt{ciaf}$ and value of $\mathtt{ciaft}$ |
Agriculture investment | 36 | $\mathtt{cfifr}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{fr}\right)$ | page 60 | see table $\mathtt{cfifr}$ |
Quality life | 37 | $\mathtt{ql} = \mathtt{qls}\times\mathtt{qlm}\times\mathtt{qlc}\times\mathtt{qlf}\times\mathtt{qlp}$ | page 60 | see value of $\mathtt{qls}$ |
Quality life | 38 | $\mathtt{qlm}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{msl}\right)$ | page 61 | see table $\mathtt{qlm}$ |
Quality life | 39 | $\mathtt{qlc}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{cr}\right)$ | page 62 | see table $\mathtt{qlc}$ |
Quality life | 40 | $\mathtt{qlf}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{fr}\right)$ | page 63 | see table $\mathtt{qlf}$ |
Quality life | 41 | $\mathtt{qlp}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{polr}\right)$ | page 64 | see table $\mathtt{qlp}$ |
Natural resources | 42 | $\mathtt{nrmm}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\mathtt{msl}\right)$ | page 64 | see table $\mathtt{nrmm}$ |
Agriculture investment | 43 | $\mathtt{ciqr}=\mathit{interpolate}\left(\frac{\mathtt{qlm}}{\mathtt{qlf}}\right)$ | page 65 | see table $\mathtt{ciqr}$ |
Description | Name | Main subsystem | Other subsystems |
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Population | p | population | birth_rate , capital_investment , capital_investment_generation , death_rate , natural_resources_usage_rate , pollution_generation |
Birth rate | br | birth_rate | population |
Birth rate from crowding multiplier | brcm | birth_rate | |
Birth rate from food multiplier | brfm | birth_rate | |
Birth rate from material multiplier | brmm | birth_rate | |
Birth rate from pollution multiplier | brpm | birth_rate | |
Capital investment | ci | capital_investment | capital_investment_discard |
Capital fraction indicated by food ratio | cfifr | agriculture_investment | |
Capital investment in agriculture fraction | ciaf | agriculture_investment | capital_investment |
Capital investment discard | cid | capital_investment_discard | capital_investment |
Capital investment generation | cig | capital_investment_generation | capital_investment |
Capital investment multiplier | cim | capital_investment_generation | |
Capital investment from quality ratio | ciqr | agriculture_investment | |
Capital investment ratio | cir | capital_investment | pollution_generation |
Capital investment ratio in agriculture | cira | capital_investment | agriculture_investment |
Crowding ratio | cr | population | agriculture_investment , birth_rate , death_rate , quality_life |
Death rate | dr | death_rate | population |
Death rate from crowding multiplier | drcm | death_rate | |
Death rate from food multiplier | drfm | death_rate | |
Death rate from material multiplier | drmm | death_rate | |
Death rate from pollution multiplier | drpm | death_rate | |
Effective capital investment ratio | ecir | capital_investment | |
Food from crowding multiplier | fcm | agriculture_investment | |
Food potential from capital investment | fpci | agriculture_investment | |
Food from pollution multiplier | fpm | agriculture_investment | |
Food ratio | fr | agriculture_investment | birth_rate , death_rate , quality_life |
Material standard of living | msl | capital_investment | birth_rate , capital_investment_generation , death_rate , natural_resources_usage_rate , quality_life |
Natural resources | nr | natural_resources | |
Natural resource extraction multiplier | nrem | natural_resources | capital_investment |
Natural resource fraction remaining | nrfr | natural_resources | |
Natural resources from material multiplier | nrmm | natural_resources_usage_rate | |
Natural resource usage rate | nrur | natural_resources_usage_rate | natural_resources |
Pollution | pol | pollution | pollution_absorption |
Pollution absorption | pola | pollution_absorption | pollution |
Pollution absorption time | polat | pollution_absorption | |
Pollution from capital multiplier | polcm | pollution_generation | |
Pollution generation | polg | pollution_generation | pollution |
Pollution ratio | polr | pollution | agriculture_investment , birth_rate , death_rate , pollution_absorption , quality_life |
Quality of life | ql | quality_life | |
Quality of life from crowding | qlc | quality_life | |
Quality of life from food | qlf | quality_life | agriculture_investment |
Quality of life from material | qlm | quality_life | agriculture_investment |
Quality of life from pollution | qlp | quality_life | |
Variable name | Table | Range | System |
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$\mathtt{brcm}$ | $(1.05, 1.0, 0.9, 0.7, 0.6, 0.55)$ | $(0, 5)$ | Population |
$\mathtt{brfm}$ | $(0.0, 1.0, 1.6, 1.9, 2.0)$ | $(0, 4)$ | Population |
$\mathtt{brmm}$ | $(1.2, 1.0, 0.85, 0.75, 0.7, 0.7)$ | $(0, 5)$ | Population |
$\mathtt{brpm}$ | $(1.02, 0.9, 0.7, 0.4, 0.25, 0.15, 0.1)$ | $(0, 60)$ | Population |
$\mathtt{cfifr}$ | $(1.0, 0.6, 0.3, 0.15, 0.1)$ | $(0, 2)$ | Agriculture investment |
$\mathtt{cim}$ | $(0.1, 1.0, 1.8, 2.4, 2.8, 3.0)$ | $(0, 5)$ | Capital investment |
$\mathtt{ciqr}$ | $(0.7, 0.8, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0)$ | $(0, 2)$ | Agriculture investment |
$\mathtt{drcm}$ | $(0.9, 1.0, 1.2, 1.5, 1.9, 3.0)$ | $(0, 5)$ | Population |
$\mathtt{drfm}$ | $(30.0, 3.0, 2.0, 1.4, 1.0, 0.7, 0.6, 0.5, 0.5)$ | $(0, 2)$ | Population |
$\mathtt{drmm}$ | $(3.0, 1.8, 1.0, 0.8, 0.7, 0.6, 0.53, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5, 0.5)$ | $(0, 5)$ | Population |
$\mathtt{drpm}$ | $(0.92, 1.3, 2.0, 3.2, 4.8, 6.8, 9.2)$ | $(0, 60)$ | Population |
$\mathtt{fcm}$ | $(2.4, 1.0, 0.6, 0.4, 0.3, 0.2)$ | $(0, 5)$ | Agricultural investment |
$\mathtt{fpci}$ | $(0.5, 1.0, 1.4, 1.7, 1.9, 2.05, 2.2)$ | $(0, 6)$ | Agricultural investment |
$\mathtt{fpm}$ | $(1.02, 0.9, 0.65, 0.35, 0.2, 0.1, 0.05)$ | $(0, 60)$ | Agricultural investment |
$\mathtt{nrem}$ | $(0.0, 0.15, 0.5, 0.85, 1.0)$ | $(0, 1)$ | Natural resources |
$\mathtt{nrmm}$ | $(0.0, 1.0, 1.8, 2.4, 2.9, 3.3, 3.6, 3.8, 3.9, 3.95, 4.0)$ | $(0, 10)$ | Natural resources |
$\mathtt{polat}$ | $(0.6, 2.5, 5.0, 8.0, 11.5, 15.5, 20.0)$ | $(0, 60)$ | Pollution |
$\mathtt{polcm}$ | $(0.05, 1.0, 3.0, 5.4, 7.4, 8.0)$ | $(0, 5)$ | Pollution |
$\mathtt{qlc}$ | $(2.0, 1.3, 1.0, 0.75, 0.55, 0.45, 0.38, 0.3, 0.25, 0.22, 0.2)$ | $(0, 5)$ | Quality life |
$\mathtt{qlf}$ | $(0.0, 1.0, 1.8, 2.4, 2.7)$ | $(0, 4)$ | Quality life |
$\mathtt{qlm}$ | $(0.2, 1.0, 1.7, 2.3, 2.7, 2.9)$ | $(0, 5)$ | Quality life |
$\mathtt{qlp}$ | $(1.04, 0.85, 0.6, 0.3, 0.15, 0.05, 0.02)$ | $(0, 60)$ | Quality life |